Saturday, March 14, 2009
Seeding
After our little run in the Big East I'm thinking we're a 6th seed. Actually, I'm kind of hoping we are. First, that may put us in the Greensboro sectional for the first round which may be too close to pass up going. Second, the 6-11 game is a tough game but would match us up with a good bubble team. Can anyone say WVU-Michigan?? Actually Michican probably won't make it if the conference champs didn't already have a bid, but you get the idea. We get a bubble team. Third, the 6th seed matches up with the 3rd in the second round. In Greensboro, this would probably be Duke. Other sectionals might have a Missouri or Kansas. Another winnable matchup. And finally, you're in the lower half of the bracket so you don't see the #1 seed until the elite 8. So maybe you get lucky and hit an overated Memphis team. Of course they may get a #1, but they really haven't beat anyone. So, let's hope for a 6th seed and some good matchups. I like the path and the way we've been playing. The Sweet 16 may not be probable but it's highly possible.
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3 comments:
I'm going to predict a #6 seed in the South Bracket. However, I'm going to follow that up by predicting that we will be playing in Portland w/ Washington as the #3 seed in that group. Additionally, I think if Duke wins today, they will have an excellent shot at getting a #2 seed due to Kansas, Oklahoma and Wake early exits from their tourneys.
I don't think thy'll send us to BFE Portland because of their efforts to shorten up the traveling, but admittedly we could end up travelling more than most.
I agree Duke probably jumped up to a 2. I would love to match up against Washington in the 2nd round! How about a #3 Wake in Greensboro?? Best game I have ever seen!!
The travel schedule only occurs on a best case scenario basis. The "S" curve still rules. If our #6 seed winds up on the same column of the "S" as Washington, then that's who's region we end up with and the games would be in Portland so that #3 seed Washington gets shorter travel. Many teams will have to travel and the better the seed, the better chance you have for travel to end up in your favor. However, Washington is starting to appear more as a #4 seed so I'm probably going to be wrong about us in Portland because I think we will still be a #6. But we will have to travel to wherever would favor the higher seed (#2,#3,#4) in our group wherever we will fall on the "S" curve. Bracketology currently has us in Boise as a #6, but the location favors #3 Missouri.
Additionally, since two groups play at each site and don't have to be from the same region, it's quite likely that UNC as a #1 and Duke as a #2 will both end up in Greensboro meaning that we will only play there if we are a #7 or #8.
When we played Wake a few years back, it was flipped, but only because UNC and Duke got the advantages of the Southeast first round sites and Cleveland was the best they could do for Wake, even as a #2. Unfortunately for them, it happened to be even closer for WVU. This season I don't believe that there are any seeds higher than Washington that will take away the Portland site (possibly Gonzaga) from them.
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